Wednesday, July 25, 2007

Hurricane forecast reduced

OK, who didn't see this coming?

NEW YORK (Reuters) -The 2007 hurricane season may be less severe than forecast due to cooler-than-expected water temperatures in the tropical Atlantic, private forecaster WSI Corp said on Tuesday.

The season will bring 14 named storms, of which six will become hurricanes and three will become major hurricanes, WSI said in its revised outlook. WSI had previously expected 15 named storms of which eight would become hurricanes and four would become major hurricanes.

...

WSI's Crawford added that wind conditions due to the lack of an El Nino event were less conducive to formation of tropical storms.

source: Reuters


Last year it was the presence of an El Nino that kept the winds from forming. I wish they would make up their minds.

However, in 2006, a rapidly-forming El NiƱo event, combined with the pervasive presence of the Saharan Air Layer over the tropical Atlantic and a steady presence of a robust secondary high related to the Azores high centered around Bermuda, contributed to a slow season and all tropical cyclone activity ceasing after October 2.

source: wikipedia


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