Monday, July 27, 2015

Reasons to be cautious about the $15/Hr Minimum Wage


Mr Sorkin crunches the numbers, using a model of the American restaurant industry in which companies choose between employees and machines. He investigates the effect of a permanent (ie, inflation-linked) increase in the minimum wage and shows that the tiny short-run effects on employment normally seen are fully consistent with a long-run response over 100 times larger.
...
(In a second paper Sorkin shows) An increase in the minimum wage seems to push some restaurants out of business. The eateries that replace them are more likely to be chains, which are more reliant on machines (and therefore offer fewer jobs) than the independent outlets they replace. This effect has not been picked up before because the restaurants which continue to operate do not change their employment levels, so the jobs total does not shift much in the short run.
...
(In a third paper Jonathan Meer shows) Their results suggest that a 10% increase in the minimum wage, made permanent by linking it to inflation, could cut job growth by 0.3 percentage points a year. Over a long period, this could amount to a very large difference indeed
Conservatives have been saying this for a long time.  There is no such thing as a free lunch.  
Post a Comment

Ongoing In-depth Coverage of the Petya Ransomware Attack

on Techmeme Also - Vaccine, not Killswitch, Found for Petya (NotPetya) Ransomware Outbreak To vaccinate your computer so that you are u...