Monday, November 03, 2008

25 hours to go

Voting officially starts here in the Seattle area in 25 hours and I for one am glad that this campaign is finally coming to an end.

I still think Obama is going to win. Two plus years of no serious scrutiny of his record has given him an edge that to me seems nearly impassable, but somehow McCain has hung in and according to Fox News this morning he is ahead in a number of Battleground states. Unfortunately Fox and Friends never has any links to their assertions, The Battleground Poll website shows it McCain 45% Obama 49% Undecided 6% on 10/31, but I don't know if that is the poll they are talking about. This is after McCain has been outspent by about 4 to 1 and Obama had a 30 minute infomercial on the 29th.

In any case right now it appears to be Obama's race to lose, but he may have hurt himself again this weekend when an interview he gave earlier this year surfaced. In it he discusses ways in which the coal industry can be bankrupted as a part of public policy. That isn't going to help him in the swing states of Ohio, Pennsylvania, or Viginia. Neither is the fact that the SF Chronicle apparently sat on this interview for 10 months.

So anyway tomorrow night about midnight I expect Obama to be declared the winner with around 49% of the vote. (Although I hope McCain and Palin refuse to concede in any state where Acorn had a substantial voter registration / get out the vote role, contest every freakin' vote!) Far less than the blow out some are predicting and much less than an overwhelming mandate for hope and change. What then?

I guess we start fighting for the House and Senate in 2010 and hope to Christ that whatever Supreme Court Justices retire are on the lib side of the bench.

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